While it is immanently clear that future transportation must be decoupled from carbon dioxide emissions, currently there is no singular drivetrain technology that is bound to prevail in heavy-duty trucking. As economic efficiency is the guiding principle for trucking operators, this paper examines the differences in total cost of ownership for battery and fuel cell electric vehicles. Several scenarios including technologi- cal advances such as High Power Charging are laid out and analyzed based on Monte Carlo simulations. Notably, battery electric trucks show by far the lowest overall costs and there are little to no scenarios where this mechanism changes. Hence, it is quite probable that battery-electric trucks will prevail their hydrogen-powered peers throughout the current decade.

P6-06 Technology extrapolation and total cost of ownership evaluation of battery and fuel cell electric heavy-duty vehicles

Reducing emissions from the transportation sector is one of the fastest ways to combat climate change. 

Electrifying mobility is propelling new technologies, empowering consumers to take concrete action and is demanding politicians to take swift and concrete action.

What will the future of electric mobility look like? And what are the biggest challenges for realizing zero emission transport on the road, at sea and in the air? 

The 13th-15th June, people from all over the world will travel to Oslo, the world’s leading player in electric transport, to participate in this year’s biggest EV conference.